Equibase | Free Picks (2024)

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

Camarero - Race 6

Exacta / Quiniela / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double 6-7

Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 42 • Purse: $13,500 • Post: 5:00P
FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS. 2# A CLASFS. INFERIOR Y DEBTS ALLOWED 2 LBS.

Contenders

Race Analysis

P#

Horse

Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Dominant Stalker. MILENARIO is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MILENARIO: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30. BERMUDO: Horse has run a Good Race wi thin the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.

1

MILENARIO

3/1

5/2

6

BERMUDO

2/1

5/2

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure

1

MILENARIO

1

3/1

Alternator/Stalker

43

18

35.1

17.1

15.1

6

BERMUDO

6

2/1

Alternator/Stalker

42

29

31.2

15.4

11.4

Unknown Running Style: MAXIMUM BLAST (4/1) [Jockey: Rivera Luis F - Trainer: Lisboa Jason], MINISTER CAT (10/1) [Jockey: Robles Jorge G - Trainer: Gomez Maximo], DECORATED FOR CAT (5/1) [Jockey: Hernandez Sanchez A - Trainer: Diaz Samuel], OLAFMOON (

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lone Star Park

Lone Star Park - Race 9

Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $.20 Jackpot Super HI-FIVE

Maiden Claiming $15,000 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 75 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 9:41P
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.

Contenders

Race Analysis

P#

Horse

Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * IM A FANCY DEBUTANTE: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. INSTA MILLIONAIRE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Sty le designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BE RIGHT BAC: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks i n the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. VALIANT TOM: Jockey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30.

2

IM A FANCY DEBUTANTE

2/1

5/1

12

INSTA MILLIONAIRE

5/2

5/1

5

BE RIGHT BAC

7/2

8/1

7

VALIANT TOM

10/1

8/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure

1

LIL POPPA STOPPER

1

30/1

Slow

9.3

0.0

0.0

2

IM A FANCY DEBUTANTE

2

2/1

Average

72

65

4.4

0.0

0.0

3

EG CLIFF MONEY

3

9/2

Average

55

58

4.5

0.0

0.0

5

BE RIGHT BAC

5

7/2

Average

67

61

5.4

0.0

0.0

6

PROUDEST SUCCESS

6

20/1

Average

55

38

4.4

0.0

0.0

7

VALIANT TOM

7

10/1

Average

66

62

4.2

0.0

0.0

8

PINK CHERRY CHICK

8

15/1

Slow

6.1

0.0

0.0

9

CHUY WATTERS

9

8/1

Fast

65

52

2.8

0.0

0.0

10

LADY BOGART

10

8/1

Average

68

53

0.0

0.0

0.0

11

BUCHANAN 747

11

6/1

Average

56

53

3.7

0.0

0.0

12

INSTA MILLIONAIRE

12

5/2

Fast

73

63

2.4

0.0

0.0

Unknown Running Style: MACHO MODELO (15/1) [Jockey: Contreras Alfredo - Trainer: Ortiz Javier Ruiz].

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Equibase | Free Picks (1)

Belterra Park - Race #5 - Post: 2:35pm - Maiden Special - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $16,700 Class Rating: 81

Rating: Equibase | Free Picks (2)Equibase | Free Picks (3)Equibase | Free Picks (4)Equibase | Free Picks (5)

#8 COACH PETRO (ML=8/1)
#1 FULL ARMOR (ML=7/2)

COACH PETRO - Last out, finished fifth on a sloppy track at Belterra Park. Have to do better right here in this race. This trainer brings horses to the turf ready to win, winning over 20 pct of the time under similar conditions. Ranked the highest in earnings per race. Another sign that this equine has the class to win today. FULL ARMOR - You always have to be on the watch for profit making jock/handler duos; we have an instance right here. Ran last out against tougher competition at Ellis Park. The move to a lower class rank should suit him well.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 LINESMAN (ML=5/2), #2 MUCHO GRANDE (ML=4/1), #6 QUEBRANCHO (ML=5/1),

LINESMAN - Difficult to play any horse to turn things around if there is no value to taking the chance. MUCHO GRANDE - In the last race this vulnerable equine finished third. Doesn't look good for his chances today. The speed rating in the last race doesn't fit very well in this contest when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's event. Mark this thoroughbred as a questionable contender. QUEBRANCHO - The finish of sixth in the last event shows me that this equine may be losing physical conditioning. This colt is always around, but just doesn't finish on top. Difficult to wager on him on the top end.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #8 COACH PETRO to win if you can get at least 3/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Churchill Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $58000 Class Rating: 73

FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000.



RECOMMENDEDCHOICES

Equibase | Free Picks (6)


# 4 HANK HILL 8/1

# 1 SELL IT 5/1

# 12 COLONEL YORKE 4/1

HANK HILL is the best bet in this affair and is a very good value bet given the line at 8/1. Should be given a chance for this event if only for the very strong speed rating posted in the last contest. Looks respectable for the conditions of this race today, showing solid figures in dirt sprint races recently.SELL IT - Has performed strongly as of late in sprint races, posting a nifty 60 avg speed figure. His 60 average has this colt with among the best Equibase Speed Figures in here.COLONEL YORKE - Have to look at solely on class, with some of the top class figures of this group of horses in this race. He has to be given a chance given the quite good speed figures.

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Thistledown

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $33900 Class Rating: 48

FOR ACCREDITED OHIO FOALS MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS.



RECOMMENDEDCHOICES

Equibase | Free Picks (7)


# 8 GREEK BOUTIQUE 2/1

# 6 MOBIL ENSIGN 3/1

# 7 DAH FUH 20/1

My choice for this race is GREEK BOUTIQUE. This filly must be given a shot just off the earnings per start in dirt sprint contests alone. Has very strong Equibase Class Figures relative to this field - worth a look. Fadlovich has shown excellent profits (+22 return on investment ) at this distance/surface.DAH FUH - Tough to pass on this filly with Diaz in the saddle.

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Equibase | Free Picks (8)

Charles Town - Race #6 - Post: 9:21pm - Allowance - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,400 Class Rating: 82

Rating: Equibase | Free Picks (9)Equibase | Free Picks (10)Equibase | Free Picks (11)Equibase | Free Picks (12)

#5 RAMSEY (ML=6/1)
#2 YANGARRA (ML=8/1)

RAMSEY - Joy brings him right back. I suggest you stay with this strong gelding. Classic angle - 3rd or 4th start after a vacation generally leads to a big effort. Should run a big one here. This animal has increased his Equibase speed figs in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is worth considering when its time to bet. You have to be keen on that last race speed fig, 84, which is the best recent race speed rating of this group. YANGARRA - Each one of this gelding's recent finish positions has been progressively better.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 PROSPECTIVE LOVE (ML=4/5), #8 PLAY IT LOUD (ML=4/1),

PROSPECTIVE LOVE - This pony will probably need at least one more start after the lackluster showing following the very long layoff. Difficult to back any vulnerable equine in a sprint affair if he hasn't hit the board in a sprint in the last couple months. PLAY IT LOUD - When any horse improves so much on a sloppy track, I have to be leery of him next race out. Quite unimpressive speed fig in the last race at Charles Town at 1 1/16 miles. Don't believe this runner will improve too much in today's event.

Equibase | Free Picks (13)GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - YANGARRA - The data here is quite simple. This thoroughbred has a lot of pace, so I'd calculate that he sets the early fractions, with a chance to go gate to wire.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Go with #5 RAMSEY on top if we're getting at least 8/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

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Equibase | Free Picks (2024)

FAQs

What is the most predictive factor in horse racing? ›

He says perhaps the most important factor is the 'days between' a horse's last run and the run it is having today. His thinking forms the basis of his book, The Key Factor Is Fitness. Another factor he stresses is that about 75 to 80 per cent of all winners come from the first four favourites.

How do you pick a winning horse every time? ›

Picking a Winner by Eye
  1. Does the horse look at ease in its surroundings? ...
  2. Does your horse 'look well in its coat'? ...
  3. Is it a good walker? ...
  4. Does the horse look fit and athletic? ...
  5. Does it have good muscle definition? ...
  6. Are there any lucky charms or superstitions?

What number wins the most horse races? ›

Apart from metropolitan tracks, the handicapper's preferred horses, (number one) won more races than any other number. Sadly, this didn't result in profitable returns from betting on it. Well, that rather knocks a hole in the concept of following lucky numbers and making a fortune.

What is the best horse racing database? ›

The World's Leading Horse Racing Data Provider

Total Performance Data makes horseracing more valuable for racecourses, owners, trainers, bookmakers and punters.

What is the smartest bet in horse racing? ›

The safest bet you can make is a SHOW bet on the favorite. While it's the most likely to hit, it delivers a small return. If you want to make more money, you need to bet on the more exotic wagers. They include the EXACTA (top two horses in order), the TRIFECTA (top three in order) or the SUPERFECTA (top four in order).

What is the luckiest number in horse racing? ›

In the steeplechase, the numbers between 11 and 29 have proved to be the most successful, supplying 12 winners over this period. 35 and 29, 13 and 10 lead the way, however, with these numbers claiming victory twice each so far.

What age horse wins the most? ›

MOST COMMON WINNING AGE

Nine-year-olds have won 45 of the 169 runnings of the Grand National where the winner's age was recorded.

What is the most profitable way to bet on horses? ›

In conclusion, the most profitable horse racing strategy is value betting. It involves identifying discrepancies between a bettor's estimation of a horse's chance of winning and the odds provided by the bookmaker. By taking advantage of these apparent errors, bettors can maximize profits with higher chances of winning.

How often do 100 1 horses win? ›

On average the strike rate is around 0.3% so it is expected that there will be many runners, but few winners to get back to that level. Out of all those runners only R Hannon has had two 100/1 winners. One jockey has had three 100/1 winners. One in each year of 2004, 2005 and 2006.

What color horse wins the most? ›

1) The most common color of Kentucky Derby winners is bay with 56, including Mandaloun in 2021, followed by chestnut with 50 winners, including Mage last year, and brown with 17. Eight Kentucky Derby winners were gray or roan, most recently Giacomo in 2005.

Which horse never lost a race? ›

The Great Unbeaten Horses: KINCSEM ~ was the most successful Thoroughbredrace horse ever, having won an incredible 54 races from 54 starts. Foaled in Hungary in 1874, she is a national icon, and is revered in other parts of the world, too.

What is the most common bet in horse racing? ›

In North American racing, the three most common ways to bet money are to win, to place, and to show. A bet to win, sometimes called a "straight" bet, means staking money on the horse, and if it comes in first place, the bet is a winner. In a bet to place, you are betting on your horse to finish either first or second.

What is the best horse racing prediction website? ›

In conclusion, OLBG is the best place to come for daily free horse racing tips as our horse racing tipster's betting performance stats are available to view along with the detailed tip analysis so you know why they are making the selection.

What state has the best horse racing? ›

Saratoga Race Course

Located in Saratoga Springs, New York, this race course has been a cornerstone of American horse racing since 1863. Dubbed the “Graveyard of Champions,” it has seen many upsets, including the defeat of the legendary Man o' War in 1919.

What is the most successful horse racing system? ›

The Dutching method, the Yankee strategy, and the Matched Betting system are among the most popular options. The Dutching method is a betting technique that guarantees a fixed profit regardless of which horse wins the race.

What is the most important stat in horse racing? ›

Jockey and Trainer Stats

Examining statistics such as career win rates, current season performance, and partnerships with certain horses can all give you important cues. If a jockey has a high win rate on a specific track or with a particular horse, that's a promising sign for your bet.

Which horse races are the most predictable? ›

Dirt Races Are Predictable

While dirt races are the most predictable, not every dirt surface is the same. Some dirt tracks are very hard, almost like cement, and that tends to make them fast and good for front runners. Other dirt tracks are deep and moist.

What is the most important factor in handicapping a horse race? ›

Speed is the most important and most desired characteristic in a racehorse, for obvious reasons. This can be determined through speed figures that assist handicappers in comparing vital information like actual times, different distances, race days, and racetracks and against various paces.

What is the most profitable bet in horse racing? ›

In conclusion, the most profitable horse racing strategy is value betting. It involves identifying discrepancies between a bettor's estimation of a horse's chance of winning and the odds provided by the bookmaker. By taking advantage of these apparent errors, bettors can maximize profits with higher chances of winning.

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