F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero
Camarero - Race 6 | Exacta / Quiniela / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double 6-7 |
Maiden Special 6 Furlongs Dirt Age 2 CR: 42 Purse: $13,500 Post: 5:00P | |
FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS. 2# A CLASFS. INFERIOR Y DEBTS ALLOWED 2 LBS. |
Contenders | Race Analysis | ||||
P# | Horse | Morn | Accept | Race Type: Dominant Stalker. MILENARIO is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MILENARIO: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30. BERMUDO: Horse has run a Good Race wi thin the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. | |
1 | MILENARIO | 3/1 | 5/2 | ||
6 | BERMUDO | 2/1 | 5/2 | ||
P# | Horse (In Running Style Order) | Post | Morn | Running Style | Good | Good | Early Figure | Finish Figure | Platinum |
1 | MILENARIO | 1 | 3/1 | Alternator/Stalker | 43 | 18 | 35.1 | 17.1 | 15.1 |
6 | BERMUDO | 6 | 2/1 | Alternator/Stalker | 42 | 29 | 31.2 | 15.4 | 11.4 |
Unknown Running Style: MAXIMUM BLAST (4/1) [Jockey: Rivera Luis F - Trainer: Lisboa Jason], MINISTER CAT (10/1) [Jockey: Robles Jorge G - Trainer: Gomez Maximo], DECORATED FOR CAT (5/1) [Jockey: Hernandez Sanchez A - Trainer: Diaz Samuel], OLAFMOON (
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Lone Star Park - Race 9 | Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $.20 Jackpot Super HI-FIVE |
Maiden Claiming $15,000 300 Yards Dirt Age 2 CR: 75 Purse: $12,000 Post: 9:41P | |
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. |
Contenders | Race Analysis | ||||
P# | Horse | Morn | Accept | Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * IM A FANCY DEBUTANTE: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. INSTA MILLIONAIRE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Sty le designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BE RIGHT BAC: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks i n the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. VALIANT TOM: Jockey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30. | |
2 | IM A FANCY DEBUTANTE | 2/1 | 5/1 | ||
12 | INSTA MILLIONAIRE | 5/2 | 5/1 | ||
5 | BE RIGHT BAC | 7/2 | 8/1 | ||
7 | VALIANT TOM | 10/1 | 8/1 | ||
P# | Horse (In Running Style Order) | Post | Morn | Running Style | Good | Good | Early Figure | Finish Figure | Platinum |
1 | LIL POPPA STOPPER | 1 | 30/1 | Slow | 9.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||
2 | IM A FANCY DEBUTANTE | 2 | 2/1 | Average | 72 | 65 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
3 | EG CLIFF MONEY | 3 | 9/2 | Average | 55 | 58 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
5 | BE RIGHT BAC | 5 | 7/2 | Average | 67 | 61 | 5.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
6 | PROUDEST SUCCESS | 6 | 20/1 | Average | 55 | 38 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
7 | VALIANT TOM | 7 | 10/1 | Average | 66 | 62 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
8 | PINK CHERRY CHICK | 8 | 15/1 | Slow | 6.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||
9 | CHUY WATTERS | 9 | 8/1 | Fast | 65 | 52 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
10 | LADY BOGART | 10 | 8/1 | Average | 68 | 53 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
11 | BUCHANAN 747 | 11 | 6/1 | Average | 56 | 53 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
12 | INSTA MILLIONAIRE | 12 | 5/2 | Fast | 73 | 63 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Unknown Running Style: MACHO MODELO (15/1) [Jockey: Contreras Alfredo - Trainer: Ortiz Javier Ruiz].
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Belterra Park - Race #5 - Post: 2:35pm - Maiden Special - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $16,700 Class Rating: 81
Rating:
#8 COACH PETRO (ML=8/1)
#1 FULL ARMOR (ML=7/2)
COACH PETRO - Last out, finished fifth on a sloppy track at Belterra Park. Have to do better right here in this race. This trainer brings horses to the turf ready to win, winning over 20 pct of the time under similar conditions. Ranked the highest in earnings per race. Another sign that this equine has the class to win today. FULL ARMOR - You always have to be on the watch for profit making jock/handler duos; we have an instance right here. Ran last out against tougher competition at Ellis Park. The move to a lower class rank should suit him well.
Vulnerable Contenders: #4 LINESMAN (ML=5/2), #2 MUCHO GRANDE (ML=4/1), #6 QUEBRANCHO (ML=5/1),
LINESMAN - Difficult to play any horse to turn things around if there is no value to taking the chance. MUCHO GRANDE - In the last race this vulnerable equine finished third. Doesn't look good for his chances today. The speed rating in the last race doesn't fit very well in this contest when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's event. Mark this thoroughbred as a questionable contender. QUEBRANCHO - The finish of sixth in the last event shows me that this equine may be losing physical conditioning. This colt is always around, but just doesn't finish on top. Difficult to wager on him on the top end.
STRAIGHT WAGERS: | Bet on #8 COACH PETRO to win if you can get at least 3/1 odds |
EXACTA WAGERS: | Box [1,8] |
TRIFECTA WAGERS: | Skip |
SUPERFECTA WAGERS: | Pass |
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Churchill Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $58000 Class Rating: 73
FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000.
RECOMMENDEDCHOICES | |
| # 4 HANK HILL 8/1 |
# 1 SELL IT 5/1 | |
# 12 COLONEL YORKE 4/1 |
HANK HILL is the best bet in this affair and is a very good value bet given the line at 8/1. Should be given a chance for this event if only for the very strong speed rating posted in the last contest. Looks respectable for the conditions of this race today, showing solid figures in dirt sprint races recently.SELL IT - Has performed strongly as of late in sprint races, posting a nifty 60 avg speed figure. His 60 average has this colt with among the best Equibase Speed Figures in here.COLONEL YORKE - Have to look at solely on class, with some of the top class figures of this group of horses in this race. He has to be given a chance given the quite good speed figures.
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Thistledown
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $33900 Class Rating: 48
FOR ACCREDITED OHIO FOALS MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS.
RECOMMENDEDCHOICES | |
| # 8 GREEK BOUTIQUE 2/1 |
# 6 MOBIL ENSIGN 3/1 | |
# 7 DAH FUH 20/1 |
My choice for this race is GREEK BOUTIQUE. This filly must be given a shot just off the earnings per start in dirt sprint contests alone. Has very strong Equibase Class Figures relative to this field - worth a look. Fadlovich has shown excellent profits (+22 return on investment ) at this distance/surface.DAH FUH - Tough to pass on this filly with Diaz in the saddle.
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Charles Town - Race #6 - Post: 9:21pm - Allowance - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,400 Class Rating: 82
Rating:
#5 RAMSEY (ML=6/1)
#2 YANGARRA (ML=8/1)
RAMSEY - Joy brings him right back. I suggest you stay with this strong gelding. Classic angle - 3rd or 4th start after a vacation generally leads to a big effort. Should run a big one here. This animal has increased his Equibase speed figs in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is worth considering when its time to bet. You have to be keen on that last race speed fig, 84, which is the best recent race speed rating of this group. YANGARRA - Each one of this gelding's recent finish positions has been progressively better.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 PROSPECTIVE LOVE (ML=4/5), #8 PLAY IT LOUD (ML=4/1),
PROSPECTIVE LOVE - This pony will probably need at least one more start after the lackluster showing following the very long layoff. Difficult to back any vulnerable equine in a sprint affair if he hasn't hit the board in a sprint in the last couple months. PLAY IT LOUD - When any horse improves so much on a sloppy track, I have to be leery of him next race out. Quite unimpressive speed fig in the last race at Charles Town at 1 1/16 miles. Don't believe this runner will improve too much in today's event.
GUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - YANGARRA - The data here is quite simple. This thoroughbred has a lot of pace, so I'd calculate that he sets the early fractions, with a chance to go gate to wire.
STRAIGHT WAGERS: | Go with #5 RAMSEY on top if we're getting at least 8/5 odds |
EXACTA WAGERS: | Box [2,5] |
TRIFECTA WAGERS: | Pass |
SUPERFECTA WAGERS: | Skip |
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